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McCarthy Burton Team

  • Market Forcast

    News You Can Use
    Anticipating a 36% drop in home values from a 2006 peak at the height of the housing boom, Moody's Economy.com said that government policies could help end the long decline by the end of this year.


    In the report by Moody's Economy.com, it stated home values in almost 400 U.S. metro areas have declined by an average of 25%, and will continue to decline by 11% before halting.

    The report forecasts that once the market has completely corrected itself, it will have reached over 60% of the U.S. metro areas.

    "Notwithstanding the intensifying economic gloom, the bottom of the housing downturn is within sight," said Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi.

    "Presuming we see strong action by policymakers to help support the economy and the housing market, prices will begin to recover by the end of this year."

    "Policymakers have not yet been able to break the downward spiral that has developed among the sinking housing market, job losses, frozen credit markets, and rising foreclosures," Zandi said.

    Officials expect that a full recovery will not be seen until late 2010, and the country will not come within reach of an unemployment rate of 5.0% until 2012, which nears the end of President Obama's term.

    The new administration along with Congress are collaborating a $780 billion economic stimulus bill which will aid in boosting the housing and credit markets.

    Legislators are working on bolstering home purchases amid six-figure-income families by doubling the current tax credit for first-time homebuyers earning less than $150,000 from $7,500 to $15,000 for all income classifications.

    In 2005, the new and existing homes started to tumble, which marked the termination of a five-year U.S. housing boom stimulated partially by lax credit lending for subprime borrowers.

    Moody's Economy.com report also revealed that an additional 11% drop in housing will occur before stabilizing.

    The study also showed that Case-Shiller home price index will drop by 36% from its crest in 2006.

    Southeastern Florida and areas of California housing prices will tumble by more than 50% from their peaks.

    Naples, Florida is reported to receive the hardest hit in home values dropping 70.1% since its peak before spiraling to its bottom at the end of 2010.

    Two California areas follow close behind - Merced, CA housing prices are forecasted to decline by 69.6% and Salinas by 67.9%.

    Mark Fleming, chief economist First American CoreLogic, said in a recent conference if the stimulus bill was enacted immediately, the spirally of housing prices would not correct itself for at least a year.

    "We'll have to work our way out," Fleming said.

    "Home prices are not like Lamborghinis; they don't stop on a dime. They're more like trucks."
  • " The Spendulus Bill"

    The Economic Stimulus Bill (The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, H.R. 1.) also affectionately known, by some of us, as the “Spendulus Bill”, has been reconciled by the U.S. House and U.S. Senate. The details coming out fall far short of what is necessary.  Here are some of the provisions.

     

          Homebuyer Tax Credit – a $7500 tax credit that will be available for qualified purchase of a principal residence by a first time homebuyer only between January 1, 2009 and September 1, 2009.  The credit does not require repayment. Individuals who purchase in 2009 using financing assistance from state and local mortgage bonds will be permitted to use the credit, as well.

     

          FHA, Fannie and Freddie Loan Limits – Revised loan limits for FHA, Freddie Mac, and Fannie Mae.  Specifics have not been released but reports indicate that the 2008 limits have been reinstated for 2009 except in those communities where the 2009 limits are higher. Additional increases in individual communities may also be available at the discretion of the HUD Secretary.

     

          Foreclosure Mitigation & Neighborhood Stabilization – Funding for states and local communities to be used for neighborhood stabilization activities for the redevelopment of abandoned and foreclosed homes are authorized.

     

    All of us in the real estate business know that these provisions fall short and will not provide the relief necessary for Americans to purchase a new home, protect their current home or preserve investment opportunities in residential and commercial properties.

     

    We all understand that without a housing recovery, an overall economic recovery is impossible.  The question is why don’t those in Washington get it!!!

     

  • Martin County Officials will seek $3.5 million in Federal Aid for Affordable Housing

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    Martin County commissioners Tuesday signaled the Florida Department of Community Affairs that they intend to apply for a share of $91 million in federal Neighborhood Stabilization Program money being distributed by the state.

    Jeff Oris, Martin County community development director, said the money would buy foreclosed houses from lenders’ inventory and use them for affordable housing and low-income multi-family rental units.

    The grant would allow $2.6 million toward the purchase of homes and another $890,000 to purchase multi-family properties for low-income rentals to individuals and families whose incomes do not exceed 50 percent of the area’s median income.

    “This neighborhood stabilization program is different than anything we’ve ever seen before,” Oris said.

    Designed to lessen the growing foreclosure epidemic’s effects on neighborhoods, the whirlwind program came together fast and has a projected 24-month lifespan, giving local planners about 10 months to accomplish their goals, Oris said.

    “It’s not a lot of money, and it’s a short timeline to make it happen. It’s not going to be easy,” he said.

    Though procedures are still in flux, Oris envisions the county buying distressed properties from lenders at the required 15 percent below appraised value and then turning to local non-profit groups to render any necessary rehab work and find a buyer meeting affordable housing income requirements.

    All money returned to the county from the sale of the property had to be recycled back to the state, Oris said.

    “We can’t make any money through this program,” he said,

    For rental units, the county will be required to partner with or assign its rights to a non-profit organization with at least five years experience with rental housing.

    The project, Oris said, will deal exclusively with the approximately 1,200 Martin Cunty properties that have gone into foreclosure and back to the lender within the last 12 months.

    “This is not a program designed to help people keep or stay in their homes,” he said.

    The grant application is expected in mid-February and must be completed by early April, Oris said.